BJP where from here?

As a BJP supporter and hater of undemocratic dynasty politics of Congress, I am not happy that BJP lost. However, I am very happy that Congress won  in such a good manner.  Whatever media says, I feel that it is MMS and not Rahul baba who is responsible for congress win. 

Here are some important mistakes of BJP in my opinion

1> Nuke Deal:   In retrospect, the game changer was  perhaps NUKE-deal.  At that point idiotic attack from Indian left galvanized most of Indian against left and gave an impression that MMS is a strong leader who cares about Indian future.  The main stupidity of BJP at that time was to blindly oppose nuke-deal, started by them only. At that time it was looking like a good strategy, however it was considered petty politics by Indians. Left opposed it based on principle, however bad it is.  Most of the Indian I know do not agree with blind anti-USA rhetoric of  CPM. I guess Prakash Karat thought India is a part of JNU(only place he actually fought an election), where blind abuse of USA is considered to be moral and natural thing to do. However, he forgot that India is perhaps only country where most of people even at the peak of BUSH era supported USA.

Now, what about BJP?     Why did it opposed nuke deal? Congress did bad thing of completely by-passing BJP on nuke deal. However, is it good enough to oppose the whole deal? They could have asked for the compromise or just boycotted  the voting. No, they just voted against it. What for? They are non anti USA , every one knows that. The small segment of Indian population, which is blindly anti USA, will never vote for BJP. So even at the  very opportunistic level, it was not making sense. So, they allowed MMS to define the national ambition at that time. 

   2>  Mutalik :   Most of the older generation in India and still a significant population of India do not approve of Pub culture. However, not approving of something does not mean, you go there and start violence.  They forgot that in Indian culture  hitting an innocent woman is considered much worse than anything else.Ok  I know, that Mutalik was not BJP  but the point is about the image. At some point of time he was moving in hindutav circle and media will be more than willing to associate him with BJP.  None of the BJP leader came strongly against it. They made only feeble protest dissociating Mutalik with BJP. This is not enough in Indian context, where media is more than willing to project BJP as monster.  Also the whole thing happened in a BJP ruled state, so the image projected by media was accepted by the people.

The point is if Mutalik defines what is BJP, even god cannot save BJP.

3> Varun Gandhi: The same mistake again and again. Why did Varun Gandhi need to say unacceptable things? Why  did BJP started to project him as next massiah? He was just a stupid fat kid, who does not know what he was talking about. Can somebody really think in his right mind that Islam can be eliminated  from India? Islam needs to be reformed but it is as much part of Indian heritage as anything else. Supporting Hindutava does not mean that you start talking about eliminating Muslim. It is criminal, mad and idiotic. 

       Mayawati played the muslim card by applying NSA on Varun. He was just blabbering however bad that blabber was. This was not a national threat. So people in UP understood bluff of both BJP and BSP. BSP lost upper caste votes and BJP galvanized muslim against it. The net winner was congress, which projected itself as  party of middle path there.

Again the same thing, if Mutalik and Varun Gandhi defines what BJP is, it is doomed. 

4>  Governance : What is so terribly different about BJP compared to other parties? Many people like me, who was growing up in 90’s attached themselves with BJP  because it was party of issues and development. They were opposing mindless Mandal mantra and  slowly defining India as next superpower. They were for a self confident India. I remember admiring Rajnath Singh as education minister in UP for his stance against cheating rampant at time in UP and BIhar. 

However, when BJP came to power slowly but surely they started diverting from what they stood for.  One simple example is BJP government in Karnataka. They came mainly because of total destruction  of Bangalore by Gowda family and Dharam Singh.  However, what are they doing after coming back? The pace of progress is very slow. When your pace is slow on governance and you keep on taking new fight like Mangalore, all you are doing is defining yourself with just negative agenda. Ok, BJP won this time there as honeymoon is not completely over yet. However, I am afraid that if they do not accelerate development work there, it will be next UP for BJP in 2014. 

  They have good example of  Raman Singh, MP and gujarat and why don’t they learn from it? Why not push their government in different states to show substantial difference from congress and smaller parties ruled states. 

5>   Rajsthan:  I believe Vasundhra was doing good job there but she is just too aristocratic. She let Gujjar and Mina issue boil like anything.  Whenever Mandal dominates BJP is bound to lose.  It would have helped if they had taken help from congress and came up with something which would stop violence and allow for cool heads to prevail. 

Another issue is why that happened at first place itself? BJP was ruling for so long there, why did never thought about improving condition of Gujjars there? We know reservation is messed up issue and in current context only Mayawati can openly say obvious things. However, if you the reality why not you adjust yourself with it? Why not pushing for lot of private jobs in Rajsthan? They had time and opportunity and they failed there.  Congress is doing the same and may be it will pay the price in 2014. If BJP learns from their mistakes then lotus can really bloom else it might perish.

6> Generational fight: The issue of change of generation has dragged for too long. I though in 2004 that MM Joshi and  LK Advani will do what was old tradition of RSS that slowly hand over power to new guys. However, they failed and it was collective failure.  MM Joshi should also learn now that his time and era is gone. He should retire gracefully. Advani learnt it hard way this time. However, I am afraid that people like MM Joshi, Rajnath Singh etc will take over the organization. These are the men of the past (some of they are really good men too). However, you cannot challange youth of Rahul baba with experience.  The main reason is that MMS has better experience as finance minister then LK Advani as home minister.  Indian people understand that and so BJP failed. Where are generation X of BJP?  Please do not show me Varun Gandhi for that. So many of us who are young, successful and hardcore BJP supporter. Was BJP unable to find 10 -15 good men from our generation to counter false youth of  Rahul baba?   

 Middle generation of BJP is good.  Arun Jaitly, Arun Shauri, Susma Swaraj, Narendra Modi all of them were bright. But they fought too much and Rajnath Singh as BJP president was disaster. BJP now need some young blood.  Unfortunately, may be  time of BJP middle generation is over before it could show its potential.  They should take over the party immediately and start projecting some young bright guys as BJP face for 2014.  In this respect I think Sushma Swaraj is right combination of  grace, oratory and  ground support.  Arun Jaitley is good but he failed when refused (or not allowed) to take charge of BJP in Delhi before Delhi election.  He does not have any support base by now. He is too dependent on Modi.   Modi is too risky a choice for BJP. He is completely unacceptable to big portion of Indian population in present context. He might emerge victorious in 2014 but that would be too big a gamble. 

Now coming back to my question: Where is youth in BJP? This is ironic because my impression was always that most of engineers and successful people of our generation are still very soft towards BJP. How hard is to find 10-15 good men? 

7>    Social context: BJP has completely failed in nurturing Obama like personality in India. We need BJP leaders like him coming from SC, ST, OBC which can talk about caste divide in positive way.  Mayawati won last UP election, because she started talking in that way. She was Obama of UP, who failed to deliver. She turned out to be yet another Kalyan Singh. 

When in trouble, start talking about caste discrimination. Modi is there but his identity was never an issue. We badly need a SC/ST leader  in BJP who can talk beyond his caste. At the moment no political party in India has such leader. However, who knows about 2014.  Whoever, will have it might win at that time. I can clearly imagine that  BJP lead by a SC/ST leaders,  who talks about migrating from  mindless reservation to creative affirmative action, will  be  an immediate success  across the voters. 

8> Ground network and growth:  Where is the growth of BJP on ground? Apart from Karnataka what it has to show in last 10 years. They relied on the allies too much.  Now they have chance in Orissa and they should not miss it. Nothing helps more than having an organization. If BJP act properly, in 2014 Orisa might be of BJP. 

    Similarly what happened in UP? How they managed to mess up such a big time there?  If BJP want revival in India, it has to put some network  back in BJP.  

Biggest mistake of BJP in this context was perhaps Delhi and Mumbai region. The demography of Delhi and Mumbai has changed substantially. BJP is not responding to ground realities in  Delhi. Where is any leaders from Purvanchal in Delhi BJP ? When Shiv Shena was down and MNS was blabbering like Varun, where was BJP? Why not an independent BJP slowly in Maharastra? 

In this election Tamilnadu and West Bengal have shown some space for BJP. They should acquire that space by 2014. There is substantial portion of youth in Bengal which hate both CPM and Mamata. BJP should try to catch them by developing some leadership there.

9> Finally, Narendra Modi and 2002 event:  2002 was game changer for BJP.  I agree that Godhra was very very wrong. However, BJP response to that was worst.  Was anybody responsible for Godhra was really punished? No they managed to scot free. This is because the way BJP behaved during the riot.  I agree that hindus were wronged in Godhra, but is riot a solution for that. If I were ruling Gujarat at that time, I would have responded so aggressively that no one would have ever dared to do such a thing ever in Gujarat. But no what BJP did there. They let hindu anger take its own course. If there is an anger, it has to be molded constructively. However, BJP like congress of Bhagalpur riot took the easy path.  I am not saying that  Modi did the riot but he was sleeping like Nero when Rome was burning. This has costed too much for BJP in last 10 years across the India. 

In a way, 10 year out of power, is a good punishment to BJP for that. I hope they learn their lessons and bounce back in 2014. 

India needs a centre-right Party like BJP as main opposition.  I just hope that BJP does not go away like Janta Parivaar.

I wish  BJP all the best for 2014.

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8 Responses to “BJP where from here?”

  1. Pradeep Says:

    Hi Ansu, Very good comments. Could please post these comments at lkadvani webpage? We have got few good young faces like Nalin Kohli, Sidharth nath singh, Pridukt Vora, Manevendra Singh, etc.. BJP should quickly take action on this ground.

    • ansumali Says:

      Dear Pradeep,
      Most of the name you gave would be unknown to Aam Janta. Only exception is Manevendra Singh. Why is Manvendra singh different from Rahul Gandhi? Both of them are there just because of their father.
      I do not have access to lkadvani site as it ask for login to comment. May be you can post there for me and put a link to the blog.
      Thanks

  2. sandeep Says:

    if you saying BJP did a mistake in pub culture i am sorry i am from bangalore and BSY did few things right !!! and now in blore-3 seats and mlore- win does say few things plus i am reliably informed that renuka’s opponent in distant AP also took on renuka by saying she supports drinking remember one election NTR had won with prohibition so its sensitive issue with woman( i hope you raise this point in some TV show) so being overty liberal is not needed since those liberals will never vote a right wing party also he arrested ram sena goons before V-day and took wind ofcongress goons sails actually everyone knew that DKS’s goons were planning large scale violence like what he did post rajkumar ‘s death to embrass the Govt
    many people in bangalore dont mind others boy or girl going to pub but desist bangalore /mangalore being called pub cities by the ELM
    and this election atleast in karnataka proved that
    But of course how and ever will BJP come to power in centre in million dollar question honestly

    • ansumali Says:

      Dear Sandeep,
      I am saying that BJP did tactical mistake of not strongly disassociating with hooligans like Mutalik. I do not know about Bangalore but for most other part of India by now organization like Bajrang Dal is considered as a nuisance at the best. All, I am asking that BJP should associate itself more with constructive agenda of Vanvasi Kalyan Parishad rather than destructive agenda of Bajrang dal. I do not of any one who will vote for BJP because of Bajrang Dal but I do know lot of people who will be put off by that organization.

  3. Pramod Says:

    Santosh,

    That is quite an interesting analysis. I have to agree with you on this one 🙂

    One very important lesson for BJP is that they need to be clear about what they stand for and not get into the ideology trap – which is very easy esp. when things aren’t going its way. As you say Varun Gandhi and his like are not what we in India need in tomorrow’s leaders.

  4. Pradeep Says:

    Hi Ansu, I have posted on behalf of you….

  5. sandeep Says:

    hey ansu

    buddy i didnt say that its good for BJP for be associated with goons like mutalik in fact i said that BSY did do good job by arresting mutllaik the day before V-day !!!
    all i am saying is that these pseudo secular media guyz play up everything that happens in BJP ruled state and trust me many people in bangalore dont like bangalore being called pub city etc !!! so campaingns like loose forward looking woman etc can backfire on renuka as these elections proved

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